Herbert Hoover State of the Union Address December 2, 1930
To the Senate and House of Representatives:
I have the honor to comply with the requirement of the Constitution
that I should lay before the Congress information as to the state of the
Union, and recommend consideration of such measures as are necessary and
Substantial progress has been made during the year in national peace
and security; the fundamental strength of the Nation's economic life is
unimpaired; education and scientific discovery have made advances; our
country is more alive to its problems of moral and spiritual welfare.
During the past 12 months we have suffered with other Nations from economic
The origins of this depression lie to some extent within our own
borders through a speculative period which diverted capital and energy
into speculation rather than constructive enterprise. Had overspeculation
in securities been the only force operating, we should have seen recovery
many months ago, as these particular dislocations have generally readjusted
Other deep-seated causes have been in action, however, chiefly the world-wide
overproduction beyond even the demand of prosperous times for such important
basic commodities as wheat, rubber, coffee, sugar, copper, silver, zinc,
to some extent cotton, and other raw materials. The cumulative effects
of demoralizing price falls of these important commodities in the process
of adjustment of production to world consumption have produced financial
crises in many countries and have diminished the buying power of these
countries for imported goods to a degree which extended the difficulties
farther afield by creating unemployment in all the industrial nations.
The political agitation in Asia; revolutions in South America and political
unrest in some European States; the methods of sale by Russia of her increasing
agricultural exports to European markets; and our own drought--have all
contributed to prolong and deepen the depression.
In the larger view the major forces of the depression now lie outside
of the United States, and our recuperation has been retarded by the unwarranted
degree of fear and apprehension created by these outside forces.
The extent of the depression is indicated by the following approximate
percentages of activity during the past three months as compared with the
highly prosperous year of 1928:
Value of department-store sales 93% of 1928
Volume of manufacturing production 80% of 1928
Volume of mineral production 90% of 1928
Volume of factory employment 84% of 1928
Total of bank deposits 105% of 1928
Wholesale prices--all commodities 83% of 1928
Cost of living 94% of 1928
Various other indexes indicate total decrease of activity from 1928
of from 15 to 20 per cent.
There are many factors which give encouragement for the future. The
fact that we are holding from 80 to 85 per cent of our normal activities
and incomes; that our major financial and industrial institutions have
come through the storm unimpaired; that price levels of major commodities
have remained approximately stable for some time; that a number of industries
are showing signs of increasing demand; that the world at large is readjusting
itself to the situation; all reflect grounds for confidence. We should
remember that these occasions have been met many times before, that they
are but temporary, that our country is to-day stronger and richer in resources,
in equipment, in skill, than ever in its history. We are in an extraordinary
degree self-sustaining, we will overcome world influences and will lead
the march of prosperity as we have always done hitherto.
Economic depression can not be cured by legislative action or executive
pronouncement. Economic wounds must be healed by the action of the cells
of the economic body--the producers and consumers themselves. Recovery
can be expedited and its effects mitigated by cooperative action. That
cooperation requires that every individual should sustain faith and courage;
that each should maintain his self-reliance; that each and every one should
search for methods of improving his business or service; that the vast
majority whose income is unimpaired should not hoard out of fear but should
pursue their normal living and recreations; that each should seek to assist
his neighbors who may be less fortunate; that each industry should assist
its own employees; that each community and each State should assume its
full responsibilities for organization of employment and relief of distress
with that sturdiness and independence which built a great Nation.
Our people are responding to these impulses in remarkable degree. The
best contribution of government lies in encouragement of this voluntary
cooperation in the community. The Government, National, State, and local,
can join with the community in such programs and do its part. A year ago
I, together with other officers of the Government, initiated extensive
cooperative measures throughout the country.
The first of these measures was an agreement of leading employers to
maintain the standards of wages and of labor leaders to use their influence
against strife. In a large sense these undertakings have been adhered to
and we have not witnessed the usual reductions of wages which have always
heretofore marked depressions. The index of union wage scales shows them
to be today fully up to the level of any of the previous three years. In
consequence the buying power of the country has been much larger than would
otherwise have been the case. Of equal importance the Nation has had unusual
peace in industry and freedom from the public disorder which has characterized
The second direction of cooperation has been that our governments, National,
State, and local, the industries and business so distribute employment
as to give work to the maximum number of employees.
The third direction of cooperation has been to maintain and even extend
construction work and betterments in anticipation of the future. It has
been the universal experience in previous depressions that public works
and private construction have fallen off rapidly with the general tide
of depression. On this occasion, however, the increased authorization and
generous appropriations by the Congress and the action of States and municipalities
have resulted in the expansion of public construction to an amount even
above that in the most prosperous years. In addition the cooperation of
public utilities, railways, and other large organizations has been generously
given in construction and betterment work in anticipation of future need.
The Department of Commerce advises me that as a result, the volume of this
type of construction work, which amounted to roughly $6,300,000,000 in
1929, instead of decreasing will show a total of about $7,000,000,000 for
1930. There has, of course, been a substantial decrease in the types of
construction which could not be undertaken in advance of need.
The fourth direction of cooperation was the organization in such States
and municipalities, as was deemed necessary, of committees to organize
local employment, to provide for employment agencies, and to effect relief
The result of magnificent cooperation throughout the country has been
that actual suffering has been kept to a minimum during the past 12 months,
and our unemployment has been far less in proportion than in other large
industrial countries. Some time ago it became evident that unemployment
would continue over the winter and would necessarily be added to from seasonal
causes and that the savings of workpeople would be more largely depleted.
We have as a Nation a definite duty to see that no deserving person in
our country suffers from hunger or cold. I therefore set up a more extensive
organization to stimulate more intensive cooperation throughout the country.
There has been a most gratifying degree of response, from governors, mayors,
and other public officials, from welfare organizations, and from employers
in concerns both large and small. The local communities through their voluntary
agencies have assumed the duty of relieving individual distress and are
being generously supported by the public.
The number of those wholly out of employment seeking for work was accurately
determined by the census last April as about 2,500,000. The Department
of Labor index of employment in the larger trades shows some decrease in
employment since that time. The problem from a relief point of view is
somewhat less than the published estimates of the number of unemployed
would indicate. The intensive community and individual efforts in providing
special employment outside the listed industries are not reflected in the
statistical indexes and tend to reduce such published figures. Moreover,
there is estimated to be a constant figure at all times of nearly 1,000,000
unemployed who are not without annual income but temporarily idle in the
shift from one job to another. We have an average of about three breadwinners
to each two families, so that every person unemployed does not represent
a family without income. The view that the relief problems are less than
the gross numbers would indicate is confirmed by the experience of several
cities, which shows that the number of families in distress represents
from 10 to 20 per cent of the number of the calculated unemployed. This
is not said to minimize the very real problem which exists but to weigh
its actual proportions.
As a contribution to the situation the Federal Government is engaged
upon the greatest program of waterway, harbor, flood control, public building,
highway, and airway improvement in all our history. This, together with
loans to merchant shipbuilders, improvement of the Navy and in military
aviation, and other construction work of the Government will exceed $520,000,000
for this fiscal year. This compares with $253,000,000 in the fiscal year
1928. The construction works already authorized and the continuation of
policies in Government aid will require a continual expenditure upwards
of half a billion dollars annually.
I favor still further temporary expansion of these activities in aid
to unemployment during this winter. The Congress will, however, have presented
to it numbers of projects, some of them under the guise of, rather than
the reality of, their usefulness in the increase of employment during the
depression. There are certain commonsense limitations upon any expansions
of construction work. The Government must not undertake works that are
not of sound economic purpose and that have not been subject to searching
technical investigation, and which have not been given adequate consideration
by the Congress. The volume of construction work in the Government is already
at the maximum limit warranted by financial prudence as a continuing policy.
To increase taxation for purposes of construction work defeats its own
purpose, as such taxes directly diminish employment in private industry.
Again any kind of construction requires, after its authorization, a considerable
time before labor can be employed in which to make engineering, architectural,
and legal preparations. Our immediate problem is the increase of employment
for the next six months, and new plans which do not produce such immediate
result or which extend commitments beyond this period are not warranted.
The enlarged rivers and harbors, public building, and highway plans
authorized by the Congress last session, however, offer an opportunity
for assistance by the temporary acceleration of construction of these programs
even faster than originally planned, especially if the technical requirements
of the laws which entail great delays could be amended in such fashion
as to speed up acquirements of land and the letting of contracts.
With view, however, to the possible need for acceleration, we, immediately
upon receiving those authorities from the Congress five months ago, began
the necessary technical work in preparation for such possible eventuality.
I have canvassed the departments of the Government as to the maximum amount
that can be properly added to our present expenditure to accelerate all
construction during the next six months, and I feel warranted in asking
the Congress for an appropriation of from $100,000,000 to $150,000,000
to provide such further employment in this emergency. In connection therewith
we need some authority to make enlarged temporary advances of Federal-highway
aid to the States.
I recommend that this appropriation be made distributable to the different
departments upon recommendation of a committee of the Cabinet and approval
by the President. Its application to works already authorized by the Congress
assures its use in directions of economic importance and to public welfare.
Such action will imply an expenditure upon construction of all kinds of
over $650,000,000 during the next twelve months.
The world-wide depression has affected agriculture in common with all
other industries. The average price of farm produce has fallen to about
80 per cent of the levels of 1928. This average is, however, greatly affected
by wheat and cotton, which have participated in world-wide overproduction
and have fallen to about 60 per cent of the average price of the year 1928.
Excluding these commodities, the prices of all other agricultural products
are about 84 per cent of those of 1928. The average wholesale prices of
other primary goods, such as nonferrous metals, have fallen to 76 per cent
The price levels of our major agricultural commodities are, in fact,
higher than those in other principal producing countries, due to the combined
result of the tariff and the operations of the Farm Board. For instance,
wheat prices at Minneapolis are about 30 per cent higher than at Winnipeg,
and at Chicago they are about 20 per cent higher than at Buenos Aires.
Corn prices at Chicago are over twice as high as at Buenos Aires. Wool
prices average more than 80 per cent higher in this country than abroad,
and butter is 30 per cent higher in New York City than in Copenhagen.
Aside from the misfortune to agriculture of the world-wide depression
we have had the most severe drought. It has affected particularly the States
bordering on the Potomac, Ohio, and Lower Mississippi Rivers, with some
areas in Montana, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. It has found its major expression
in the shortage of pasturage and a shrinkage in the corn crop from an average
of about 2,800,000,000 bushels to about 2,090,000,000 bushels.
On August 14 I called a conference of the governors of the most acutely
affected States, and as a result of its conclusions I appointed a national
committee comprising the heads of the important Federal agencies under
the chairmanship of the Secretary of Agriculture. The governors in turn
have appointed State committees representative of the farmers, bankers,
business men, and the Red Cross, and subsidiary committees have been established
in most of the acutely affected counties. Railway rates were reduced on
feed and livestock in and out of the drought areas, and over 50,000 cars
of such products have been transported under these reduced rates. The Red
Cross established a preliminary fund of $5,000,000 for distress relief
purposes and established agencies for its administration in each county.
Of this fund less than $500,000 has been called for up to this time as
the need will appear more largely during the winter. The Federal Farm Loan
Board has extended its credit facilities, and the Federal Farm Board has
given financial assistance to all affected cooperatives.
In order that the Government may meet its full obligation toward our
countrymen in distress through no fault of their own, I recommend that
an appropriation should be made to the Department of Agriculture to be
loaned for the purpose of seed and feed for animals. Its application should
as hitherto in such loans be limited to a gross amount to any one individual,
and secured upon the crop.
The Red Cross can relieve the cases of individual distress by
the sympathetic assistance of our people.
FINANCES OF THE GOVERNMENT
I shall submit the detailed financial position of the Government with
recommendations in the usual Budget message. I will at this time, however,
mention that the Budget estimates of receipts and expenditures for the
current year were formulated by the Treasury and the Budget Bureau at a
time when it was impossible to forecast the severity of the business depression
and have been most seriously affected by it. At that time a surplus of
about $123,000,000 was estimated for this fiscal year and tax reduction
which affected the fiscal year to the extent of $75,000,000 was authorized
by the Congress, thus reducing the estimated surplus to about $48,000,000.
Closely revised estimates now made by the Treasury and the Bureau of the
Budget of the tax, postal, and other receipts for the current fiscal year
indicate a decrease of about $430,000,000 from the estimate of a year ago,
of which about $75,000,000 is due to tax reduction, leaving about $355,000,000
due to the depression. Moreover, legislation enacted by Congress subsequent
to the submission of the Budget enlarging Federal construction work to
expand employment and for increase in veterans' services and other items,
have increased expenditures during the current fiscal year by about $225,000,000.
Thus the decrease of $430,000,000 in revenue and the increase of $225,000,000
in expenditure adversely change the original Budget situation by about
$655,000,000. This large sum is offset by the original estimated surplus
a year ago of about $123,000,000, by the application of $185,000,000 of
interest payments upon the foreign debt to current expenditures, by arrangements
of the Farm Board through repayments, etc., in consequence of which they
reduced their net cash demands upon the Treasury by $100,000,000 in this
period, and by about $67,000,000 economies and deferments brought about
in the Government, thus reducing the practical effect of the change in
the situation to an estimated deficit of about $180,000,000 for the present
fiscal year. I shall make suggestions for handling the present-year deficit
in the Budget message, but I do not favor encroachment upon the statutory
reduction of the public debt.
While it will be necessary in public interest to further increase expenditures
during the current fiscal year in aid to unemployment by speeding up construction
work and aid to the farmers affected by the drought, I can not emphasize
too strongly the absolute necessity to defer any other plans for increase
of Government expenditures. The Budget for 1932 fiscal year indicates estimated
expenditure of about $4,054,000,000, including postal deficit. The receipts
are estimated at about $4,085,000,000 if the temporary tax reduction of
last year be discontinued, leaving a surplus of only about $30,000,000.
Most rigid economy is therefore necessary to avoid increase in taxes.
Our Army and Navy are being maintained at a high state of efficiency,
under officers of high training and intelligence, supported by a devoted
personnel of the rank and file. The London naval treaty has brought important
economies in the conduct of the Navy. The Navy Department will lay before
the committees of the Congress recommendations for a program of authorization
of new construction which should be initiated in the fiscal year of 1932.
This is the last session of the Seventy-first Congress. During its previous
sittings it has completed a very large amount of important legislation,
notably: The establishment of the Federal Farm Board; fixing congressional
reapportionment; revision of the tariff, including the flexible provisions
and a reorganization of the Tariff Commission; reorganization of the Radio
Commission; reorganization of the Federal Power Commission; expansion of
Federal prisons; reorganization of parole and probation system in Federal
prisons; expansion of veterans' hospitals; establishment of disability
allowances to veterans; consolidation of veteran activities; consolidation
and strengthening of prohibition enforcement activities in the Department
of Justice; organization of a Narcotics Bureau; large expansion of rivers
and harbors improvements; substantial increase in Federal highways; enlargement
of public buildings construction program; and the ratification of the London
The Congress has before it legislation partially completed in the last
sitting in respect to Muscle Shoals, bus regulation, relief of congestion
in the courts, reorganization of border patrol in prevention of smuggling,
law enforcement in the District of Columbia, and other subjects.
It is desirable that these measures should be completed.
The short session does not permit of extensive legislative programs,
but there are a number of questions which, if time does not permit action,
I recommend should be placed in consideration by the Congress, perhaps
through committees cooperating in some instances with the Federal departments,
with view to preparation for subsequent action. Among them are the following
I have in a previous message recommended effective regulation of interstate
electrical power. Such regulation should preserve the independence and
responsibility of the States.
We have determined upon a national policy of consolidation of the railways
as a necessity of more stable and more economically operated transportation.
Further legislation is necessary to facilitate such consolidation. In the
public interest we should strengthen the railways that they may meet our
I recommend that the Congress institute an inquiry into some aspects
of the economic working of these laws. I do not favor repeal of the Sherman
Act. The prevention of monopolies is of most vital public importance. Competition
is not only the basis of protection to the consumer but is the incentive
to progress. However, the interpretation of these laws by the courts, the
changes in business, especially in the economic effects upon those enterprises
closely related to the use of the natural resources of the country, make
such an inquiry advisable. The producers of these materials assert that
certain unfortunate results of wasteful and destructive use of these natural
resources together with a destructive competition which impoverishes both
operator and worker can not be remedied because of the prohibitive interpretation
of the antitrust laws. The well-known condition of the bituminous coal
industry is an illustration. The people have a vital interest in the conservation
of their natural resources; in the prevention of wasteful practices; in
conditions of destructive competition which may impoverish the producer
and the wage earner; and they have an equal interest in maintaining adequate
competition. I therefore suggest that an inquiry be directed especially
to the effect of the workings of the antitrust laws in these particular
fields to determine if these evils can be remedied without sacrifice of
the fundamental purpose of these laws.
It is urged by many thoughtful citizens that the peculiar economic
effect of the income tax on so-called capital gains at the present rate
is to enhance speculative inflation and likewise impede business recovery.
I believe this to be the case and I recommend that a study be made of the
economic effects of this tax and of its relation to the general structure
of our income tax law.
There is need for revision of our immigration laws upon a more limited
and more selective basis, flexible to the needs of the country.
Under conditions of current unemployment it is obvious that persons
coming to the United States seeking work would likely become either a direct
or indirect public charge. As a temporary measure the officers issuing
visas to immigrants have been, in pursuance of the law, instructed to refuse
visas to applicants likely to fall into this class. As a result the visas
issued have decreased from an average of about 24,000 per month prior to
restrictions to a rate of about 7,000 during the last month. These are
largely preferred persons under the law. Visas from Mexico are about 250
per month compared to about 4,000 previous to restrictions. The whole subject
requires exhaustive reconsideration.
DEPORTATION OF ALIEN CRIMINALS
I urge the strengthening of our deportation laws so as to more fully
rid ourselves of criminal aliens. Furthermore, thousands of persons have
entered the country in violation of the immigration laws. The very method
of their entry indicates their objectionable character, and our law-abiding
foreign-born residents suffer in consequence. I recommend that the Congress
provide methods of strengthening the Government to correct this abuse.
Due to deferment of Government building over many years, previous administrations
had been compelled to enter upon types of leases for secondary facilities
in large cities, some of which were objectionable as representing too high
a return upon the value of the property. To prevent the occasion for further
uneconomic leasing I recommend that the Congress authorize the building
by the Government of its own facilities.
The Nation has generously expanded its care for veterans. The consolidation
of all veterans' activities into the Veterans' Administration has produced
substantial administrative economies. The consolidation also brings emphasis
to the inequalities in service and allowances. The whole subject is under
study by the administrator, and I recommend it should also be examined
by the committees of the Congress.
I urge further consideration by the Congress of the recommendations
I made a year ago looking to the development through temporary Federal
aid of adequate State and local services for the health of children and
the further stamping out of communicable disease, particularly in the rural
sections. The advance of scientific discovery, methods, and social thought
imposes a new vision in these matters. The drain upon the Federal Treasury
is comparatively small. The results both economic and moral are of the
It is my belief that after the passing of this depression, when we can
examine it in retrospect, we shall need to consider a number of other questions
as to what action may be taken by the Government to remove Possible governmental
influences which make for instability and to better organize mitigation
of the effect of depression. It is as yet too soon to constructively formulate
There are many administrative subjects, such as departmental reorganization,
extension of the civil service, readjustment of the postal rates, etc.,
which at some appropriate time require the attention of the Congress.
Our relations with foreign countries have been maintained upon a high
basis of cordiality and good will.
During the past year the London naval pact was completed, approved
by the Senate, and ratified by the governments concerned. By this treaty
we have abolished competition in the building of warships, have established
the basis of parity of the United States with the strongest of foreign
powers, and have accomplished a substantial reduction in war vessels.
During the year there has been an extended political unrest in the world.
Asia continues in disturbed condition, and revolutions have taken place
in Brazil, Argentina, Peru, and Bolivia. Despite the jeopardy to our citizens
and their property which naturally arises in such circumstances, we have,
with the cooperation of the governments concerned, been able to meet all
such instances without friction.
We have resumed normal relations with the new Governments of Brazil,
Argentina, Peru, and Bolivia immediately upon evidence that they were able
to give protection to our citizens and their property, and that they recognized
their international obligations.
A commission which was supported by the Congress has completed its investigation
and reported upon our future policies in respect to Haiti and proved of
high value in securing the acceptance of these policies. An election has
been held and a new government established. We have replaced our high commissioner
by a minister and have begun the gradual withdrawal of our activities with
view to complete retirement at the expiration of the present treaty in
A number of arbitration and conciliation treaties have been completed
or negotiated during the year, and will be presented for approval by the
I shall, in a special message, lay before the Senate the protocols covering
the statutes of the World Court which have been revised to accord with
the sense of previous Senate reservations.